Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Bogotá		Tigres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.25
	1.85	3.36	4.37
	2	3.28	3.79	Watch
	1.8	3	4
	1.81	3.41	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	4.18 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
49.7%

Draw
28.3%

Tigres
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bogotá - Tigres Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tigres (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bogotá will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Alfonso A. 99. Castillo D. 6. Castro K. 18. Cuero B. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 30. Moreno F. (C) 5. Sanchez J. 11. Sandoval Lasso H.	12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 17. Alvarez M. 9. Aragon O. 3. Cano J. 13. Cuadros A. 2. Florez S. 10. Mosquera K. 11. Palacios L. 27. Preciado O. (C) 15. Quinones J. 18. Viafara D.
Substitutes
36. Canizalez S. 10. Castro B. 4. Londono L. 15. Malagon J. P. 28. Medina M. 21. Montien D. 7. Mosquera C. 1. Osorno J. (G) 33. Perez J.	19. Arrechea E. 20. Ibarra C. 21. Lopera J. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 24. Meneses J. 29. Rativa D. 30. Rosales R. 25. Sanchez J. 6. Valbuena S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Aragon O. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 2.

Bogotá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tigres has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bogotá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bogotá won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres - the odds 4.21 are the expected chance of winning is 22.05%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Patriotas - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TWWWL
- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
06.03.26	Tigres - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	3:1 ✺
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Envigado - Tigres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
20.10.25	Tigres - Bogotá	1:1
06.09.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:0
11.05.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:2
30.03.25	Tigres - Bogotá	2:1
05.10.24	Bogotá - Tigres	3:2
05.09.24	Tigres - Bogotá	1:0
30.04.24	Tigres - Bogotá	0:0

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