Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 3

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Romelio Martinez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Barranquilla		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.18	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.26	3.23
	2.18	3.33	3.22	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.15	3.14	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barranquilla
41.2%

Draw
28.6%

Bogotá
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Barranquilla - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barranquilla will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bogotá will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bogotá (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogotá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 16. Agamez M. 8. Bolivar M. 25. Carabali Lopez M. B. 17. Garcia Garces Y. D. 4. Herazo E. 28. Munoz J. 21. Orozco A. 10. Ortiz Javier 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Alfonso A. 36. Canizalez S. 99. Castillo D. 10. Castro B. 6. Castro K. 32. Gutierrez A. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 30. Moreno F. 7. Mosquera C. 5. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
15. Borja S. 6. Caballero S. 3. Cassiani O. 66. Chaverra A. (G) 20. Cortez J. 18. Lozano J. 26. Mosquera Moreno Y. 29. Perez E. 7. Torres D.	18. Cuero B. 3. Diaz S. 28. Medina M. 21. Montien D. 1. Osorno J. (G) 33. Perez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Penate C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alfonso A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
46', Canizalez S. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
49', 🟨,
54', Carabali Lopez M. B. ↓, Caballero S. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽,
57', Munoz J. 🟨,
64', Diaz S. 🟥,
65', Castro B. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
67', Munoz J. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
75', Garcia Garces Y. D. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
75', Penate C. ↓, Borja S. ↑,
75', Oviedo P. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
80', Mosquera C. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
87', Castillo D. ↓, Montien D. ↑,
90+4', Borja S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Barranquilla won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Barranquilla - Envigado	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWLW
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
02.05.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Real Santander - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	1:1
21.09.25	Bogotá - Barranquilla	1:0
12.04.25	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0
17.10.24	Barranquilla - Bogotá	4:2
05.05.24	Bogotá - Barranquilla	1:0
28.08.23	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0
11.03.23	Bogotá - Barranquilla	2:0

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