Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Bogotá		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	3.85	3.35	1.91	Watch
	4	3.47	1.9
	4.02	3.41	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.2	1.91
	4.09	3.59	1.83	Watch
	3.85	3.35	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.76)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)	1.88 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
23.7%

Draw
27.3%

Atlético Huila
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.5%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bogotá's form might have worsened.

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Huila's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bogotá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Huila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Bogotá - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Atlético Huila will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar D. (G) 10. Castro B. 6. Castro K. (C) 21. Cueto L. 3. Diaz S. 9. Mejia J. 33. Merlano S. 18. Obregon L. 17. Perez Porras A. D. 5. Ramos Jaramillo H. 2. Solis J.	22. Mendez J. (G) 5. Ararat A. 30. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 20. Moya B. 14. Ordonez J. 28. Rodriguez F. 4. Rodriguez J. 21. Rodriguez J. 13. Rojas A. 27. Romana H. 19. Sequeda Arroyo M.
Substitutes
12. Agamez W. (G) 39. Estacio K. 20. Garzon W. 23. Huerfano C. 22. Rivas L. 19. Ruiz S. 11. Viafara D.	23. Arbelaez F. 8. Diaz T. 9. Duarte O. 7. Hernandez S. 1. Mena L. (G) 18. Salguero Zapata C. S. 6. Sanchez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
30', 0 - 1, Manyoma Cordoba J. E. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Moya B. ⚽,
36', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
41', 🟨,
42', Rodriguez J. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
45+4', 0 - 3, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Obregon L. ↓, Viafara D. ↑,
46', Cueto L. ↓, Huerfano C. ↑,
46', Romana H. ↓, Arbelaez F. ↑,
51', Ramos Jaramillo H. 🟨,
55', Merlano S. 🟨,
58', Sequeda Arroyo M. ↓, Duarte O. ↑,
60', Solis J. 🟨,
71', Manyoma Cordoba J. E. ↓, Diaz T. ↑,
71', Ararat A. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
76', Ramos Jaramillo H. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
79', Mejia J. 🟨,
83', 1 - 3, Mejia J. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Arbelaez F. (Own goal),
87', Mendez J. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bogotá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Huila is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bogotá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Huila - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
03.03.25	Internacional de Palmira - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Bogotá - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Atlético Cali - Bogotá	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	5:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLT
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera B
28.02.25	Atlético Cali - Atlético Huila	0:3 ✺
21.02.25	Atlético Huila - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Tigres - Atlético Huila	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Atlético Huila - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
17.08.24	Atlético Huila - Bogotá	2:1
27.02.24	Bogotá - Atlético Huila	2:1
18.09.22	Atlético Huila - Bogotá	2:0
11.03.22	Bogotá - Atlético Huila	2:0
25.01.21	Atlético Huila - Bogotá	4:0
12.02.20	Bogotá - Atlético Huila	0:4

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