Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho) (Boise, ID)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boise		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.82	3.67	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	1.75	3.52	4.08	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boise
48.8%

Draw
26.8%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boise's performance.

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chattanooga Red Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Boise - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Kliewer J. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 14. Moon N. 66. Mayaka P. 6. Adams C. 7. Bodily B. 10. Kostyshyn D. 22. Amang T. 11. Moshobane T.	1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 21. Acosta M. 17. Tapia O. 6. Wessels W. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 9. Mercer G. 7. Hernandez O.
Substitutes
1. Andema J. (G) 8. Gasso D. 17. Hanson J. 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 33. Sargis H. 27. Stephens J. 23. Yehya O.	10. Bentley M. 12. Jerez R. (G) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 23. Lelin Y. 27. Maldonado J. 20. Mensah R. 4. Vaughan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Moshobane T. ⚽, Kostyshyn D. (A),
30', Adewole T. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Tapia O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Hernandez O. ⚽, Hernandez P. (A),
60', Acosta M. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
60', Mercer G. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
61', Wessels W. 🟨,
66', Moon N. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
66', Adams C. ↓, Gasso D. ↑,
69', Tapia O. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
69', Ramos J. ↓, Maldonado J. ↑,
79', Amang T. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
84', Hernandez O. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
86', Moshobane T. ↓, Oyler K. ↑,
87', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Hanson J. ↑,
90+2', Kliewer J. 🟨,

Preview

Boise has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chattanooga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boise is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Boise
USL Cup
25.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Boise	1:1 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	Boise - Westchester SC	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	AV Alta - Boise	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Boise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Union Omaha - Boise	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTTL
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL Cup
25.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Corpus Christi	0:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.26	Tennessee Tempo - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
USL League One
14.03.26	Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTLW

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