Match Info

USL League One

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Greenville Triumph		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	2.92	3.35
	2.3	2.71	3.72
	2.49	3.34	2.67	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.1
	2.19	2.74	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)	2.92 ↓ (3.02)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
40.7%

Draw
31.4%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 20. Seagrist P. 15. Patti A. 5. Fricke B. 22. Fritz K. 18. Evans C. 12. Lee E. 33. Meek L. 23. White E. 7. Boyce D. 19. Liadi A.	1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 5. Jolley H. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 7. Hernandez O. 17. Tapia O. 21. Acosta M. 10. Bentley M. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 9. Mercer G.
Substitutes
42. Bubb Z. 25. Castro L. 21. Muir M. 3. Polak T. 9. Robles R. 30. Torman S. (G) 14. Wu D.	2. Adewole T. 19. Donoho N. 12. Jerez R. (G) 23. Lelin Y. 30. Lombardi A. 20. Mensah R. 4. Vaughan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Boyce D. ⚽, Liadi A. (A),
23', Hernandez P. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Hernandez O. ⚽, Acosta M. (A),
41', Meek L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', White E. 🟨,
47', Acosta M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Mercer G. ⚽, Hernandez O. (A),
64', Ramos J. 🟨,
66', Ramos J. ↓, Lelin Y. ↑,
66', Hernandez O. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
67', Meek L. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
75', Mercer G. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
75', Tapia O. ↓, Adewole T. ↑,
78', Fricke B. ↓, Muir M. ↑,
81', Boyce D. 🟨,
82', Tapia O. 🟨,
83', White E. ↓, Castro L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 2.

Greenville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
25.10.25	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTTW
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
01.11.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
04.10.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	0:0
21.06.25	Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:1
19.04.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	1:0
14.09.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	2:5
02.06.24	Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:3
07.10.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	2:2
23.08.23	Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1

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