Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Roque de Lepe		Conil

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.05	3.95
	1.97	3.1	3.93
	1.84	3.23	4.26
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.83	3.13	4.25
	1.81	3.14	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	4.15 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
48.9%

Draw
29.2%

Conil
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

31.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Roque de Lepe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

San Roque de Lepe - Conil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, San Roque de Lepe is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Roque de Lepe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Roque de Lepe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.12.25	Atlético Central - San Roque de Lepe	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Dos Hermanas - San Roque de Lepe	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	San Roque de Lepe - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLT
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.12.25	Conil - Castilleja	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Coria CF - Conil	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Conil - Ceuta B	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Córdoba B - Conil	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Conil - Chiclana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.02.25	San Roque de Lepe - Conil	5:1
13.10.24	Conil - San Roque de Lepe	0:1
26.01.20	San Roque de Lepe - Conil	3:0
08.09.19	Conil - San Roque de Lepe	1:1
03.03.19	San Roque de Lepe - Conil	1:0

San Roque de Lepe - Conil