Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	ESPN 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	15:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
India	19:30	GXR World
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV1
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	17:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	17:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Arab Emirates	18:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	09:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Inter
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Bologna		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6.25	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.75
	1.6	3.9	5.85
	1.62	3.86	6.28	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.5
	1.65	4.02	6.26	Watch
	1.62	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	3.87 ↓ (3.89)	5.98 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
59.3%

Draw
24.7%

Monza
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.5%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	18.5%	3.7%

Bologna - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Monza will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Ravaglia F. (G) 3. Posch S. 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 30. Dominguez B. 9. Castro S.	30. Turati S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 44. Carboni A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 38. Bondo W. 42. Bianco A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 84. Ciurria P. (C) 14. Maldini D. 11. Djuric M.
Substitutes
23. Bagnolini N. (G) 15. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 5. Erlic M. 80. Fabbian G. 2. Holm E. 14. Iling Junior S. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 11. Ndoye D. 18. Pobega T. 1. Skorupski L. (G) 82. Urbanski K.	10. Caprari G. 57. Colombo L. 20. Forson O. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 12. Sensi S. 27. Valoti M. 80. Vignato S.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Bocchetti S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Maldini D. ⚽, Ciurria P. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Castro S. ⚽, Orsolini R. (A),
24', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Odgaard J. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
36', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
39', Bondo W. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
45+1', Castro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
66', Miranda J. ↓, Lykogiannis C. ↑,
66', Dominguez B. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Orsolini R. ⚽, Lykogiannis C. (A),
70', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
70', Djuric M. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
80', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
80', Posch S. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
80', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Forson O. ↑,
80', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
90+4', Izzo A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bologna won 2.

Recent matches Bologna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monza is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pereira P. (Yellow Cards) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bologna: El Azzouzi O. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Birindelli S. (Injury) Mari P. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bologna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
15.01.25	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Bologna - Roma	2:2 ✺
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Torino - Bologna	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTLWW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
13.01.25	Monza - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Monza - Juventus	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Lecce - Monza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
03.12.24	Bologna - Monza	4:0
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Monza - Bologna	1:2
13.04.24	Bologna - Monza	0:0
28.09.23	Monza - Bologna	0:0
12.02.23	Bologna - Monza	0:1
31.10.22	Monza - Bologna	1:2

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