Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bolton Wanderers		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	11	Watch
	1.3	5.75	9
	1.17	6.9	14.5	Watch
	1.22	6.58	11.02
	6.59	3.60	1.56	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.22	6.7	12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.64)	5.86 ↑ (4.15)	9.65 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
64.6%

Draw
22%

Sheffield Wednesday
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

22.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheffield Wednesday might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8%	12%

Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 6 - 60%). Sheff Wed (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bolton (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sheff Wed (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Miller T. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 3. Forino-Joseph C. (C) 32. Inwood S. 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 16. Morley A. 21. Erhahon E. 33. Warren C. 45. McAtee J. 7. Mendes C. 36. Lawrence D.	1. Charles P. (G) 23. Guilherme Siqueira 32. Emery J. 30. Weaver J. 27. Johnson R. 36. Fernandes B. 37. Thornton J. 20. Shipston R. 17. McNeill C. 11. Ugbo I. (C) 19. Kobacki O.
Substitutes
13. Broome N. (G) 48. Burstow M. 25. Conway M. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 11. Gale T. 6. Johnston G. 17. Randall J. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Simons X.	33. Alao Y. 4. Fusire S. 31. Grainger W. 39. Kamwa D. 9. Lowe J. 3. Lowe M. 2. Palmer L. 25. Stretch L. (G)
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Pedersen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Guilherme Siqueira ⚽,
27', Inwood S. 🟥,
30', Lawrence D. ↓, Johnston G. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Osei-Tutu J. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Ugbo I. ⚽,
45', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
45+3', Fernandes B. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Guilherme Siqueira ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
46', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Conway M. ↑,
62', McAtee J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
62', Warren C. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
69', Emery J. ↓, Lowe M. ↑,
70', Thornton J. 🟨,
74', Mendes C. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Gale T. ⚽, Erhahon E. (A),
80', 2 - 3, Johnson R. ⚽, Kobacki O. (A),
81', Ugbo I. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
81', Kobacki O. ↓, Alao Y. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Morley A. (Pen),
1, McNeill C. (Pen),
2, Cozier-Duberry A. (Pen),
2, Lowe J. (Pen),
3, Burstow M. (Pen),
3, Lowe M. (Pen),
4, Conway M. (Pen),
4, Palmer L. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 0.

Bolton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sheff Wed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Bolton Wanderers - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
09.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Bolton Wanderers - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers	2:5 ✺
19.07.25	Hibernian - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
10.08.25	Leicester City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Watford - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
17.03.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
20.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
09.04.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1
09.10.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
English League Championship
12.03.19	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
27.11.18	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
10.03.18	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:1

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