Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu (Bolu)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Boluspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.29	3.39	2.77
	2.35	3.5	2.97
	1.54	4.01	5.69	Watch
	2.36	3.36	2.79
	2.29	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.56)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	3.2 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boluspor
43%

Draw
27.4%

Erokspor
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boluspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boluspor's performance.

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erokspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boluspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erokspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Boluspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boluspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Erokspor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boluspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Erokspor (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozdemir O. (G) 41. Oztonga O. 20. Cayli M. A. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. 8. Lico D. 5. Senyurt D. 80. Balburdia M. 17. Davas D. 45. Boakye M. 10. Hasani F.	34. Cetin E. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 15. Nzaba F. 16. Yasar A. 77. Bilazer H. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 20. Niyaz R. 12. Kanga G. 73. Lus B. 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
61. Akanbi R. 2. Artan O. 91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 66. Isik A. 14. Kirim A. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 77. Uresin A. 9. Usluoglu A. 94. Uzunoglu M. 23. Yilmaz C.	7. Catakovic H. 11. Faye M. 19. Gedik E. 80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 78. Isik E. 6. Jack R. 8. Karaman A. 1. Tetik B. (G) 14. Ulas O.
Coaches
Er M.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Hasani F. ⚽,
28', Kanga G. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Bilazer H. ⚽, Amilton (A),
42', Niyaz R. 🟨,
42', Kanga G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cayli M. A. 🟨,
47', Lima L. 🟨,
56', Cayli M. A. ↓, Usluoglu A. ↑,
57', Boakye M. ↓, Akanbi R. ↑,
59', Balburdia M. 🟨,
61', Lus B. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
66', Lico D. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Jack R. (Pen),
69', Lima L. ↓, Uresin A. ↑,
72', Niyaz R. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Jack R. ⚽,
82', Karaman A. 🟨,
86', Kayode O. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
86', Amilton ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
90+6', Davas D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

In recent matches, Boluspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erokspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Boluspor: Elmaci M. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boluspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Boluspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boluspor
Turkish First League
28.09.25	İstanbulspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Hatayspor - Boluspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Boluspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTWW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
27.09.25	Erokspor - Igdirspor	2:3 ✺
24.09.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
12.09.25	Erokspor - Hatayspor	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.02.25	Erokspor - Boluspor	1:1
24.08.24	Boluspor - Erokspor	2:1

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