Match Info

1. Lig - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii


	Erzurumspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.11	3.4
	2.2	3.35	3.57
	2.01	3.36	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.18	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
44.3%

Draw
28.4%

Erokspor
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Erzurumspor - Erokspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Erokspor (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Erzurumspor (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Erokspor (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 20. Ozhan F. 24. Crociata G. 99. Fettahoglu M. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E.	34. Cetin E. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 97. Cavare D. 15. Nzaba F. 77. Bilazer H. 4. Kacar T. 5. Okyar M. 11. Faye M. 12. Kanga G. 89. Amilton 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
8. Akgun S. 11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 7. Sever I. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H.	33. Alic E. 7. Catakovic H. 19. Gedik E. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 8. Karaman A. 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 1. Tetik B. (G) 14. Ulas O. 16. Yasar A.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Korkmaz E. 🟨,
35', Amilton 🟨,
45', Faye M. 🟨,
45+1', Crociata G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Bilazer H. ↓, Alic E. ↑,
63', Nzaba F. 🟨,
67', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
67', Kanga G. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Crociata G. (A),
71', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
75', Nzaba F. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
75', Okyar M. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
77', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
77', Ozhan F. ↓, Sever I. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Catakovic H. ⚽, Niyaz R. (A),
84', Tozlu E. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
86', Kacar T. 🟨,
89', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
90', Karaman A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Erzurumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Erzurumspor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Keser B. (Yellow Cards) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
31.10.25	Hatayspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Erzurumspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTTT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
03.11.25	Erokspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	Erokspor - Agrispor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Erokspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Boluspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
16.02.25	Erokspor - Erzurumspor	1:2
20.09.24	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	2:3 penalties
16.12.20	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	5:1

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