Match Info

1. Lig - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Igdirspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.2
	2	3.41	3.68
	2.21	3.17	3.25	Watch
	2.13	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.22)	3.2 ↑ (3.09)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
43.3%

Draw
28.8%

Erzurumspor
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Igdirspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Erzurumspor (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Tepe T. (G) 58. Kaya G. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 86. Bekaroglu B. 22. Cavlan C. 6. Guctekin O. K. 21. Erdogan D. 20. Mendes R. 23. Guneren A. K. 7. Fofana M. 9. Bruno G.	31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 99. Fettahoglu M. 10. Tozlu E. (C)
Substitutes
61. Asan S. 26. Bolat S. (G) 19. Conte A. 17. Engin A. 10. Eysseric V. 55. Koita F. 36. Ozcan O. 11. Rotariu D. 27. Suarez A. 66. Yasar A.	1. Anapa E. (G) 35. Erdem E. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 17. Sarikaya S. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 22. Yumlu M.
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Gerxhaliu A. (Own goal),
23', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
28', Keser B. 🟨,
30', Tepe T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Tozlu E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Bruno G. ⚽, Kaya G. (A),
69', Cavlan C. ↓, Asan S. ↑,
69', Akgun S. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
78', Mendes R. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
82', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
83', Keser B. ↓, Yumlu M. ↑,
83', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
85', Bruno G. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
85', Fofana M. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
90+4', Fettahoglu M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Igdirspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Erzurumspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Igdirspor could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Igdirspor - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
09.11.25	Çorum - Igdirspor	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Igdirspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	1926 Bulancakspor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Igdirspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTWLT
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hatayspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Erzurumspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.02.25	Erzurumspor - Igdirspor	0:0
27.09.24	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	1:2

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