Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.17	7.57
	1.41	4.35	8.28
	1.49	4.02	6.42	Watch
	1.44	4.26	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	4.2 ↑ (4.02)	7.17 ↑ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
64.9%

Draw
22.1%

Umraniyespor
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 65. Rodriguez M. 99. Fettahoglu M. 10. Tozlu E.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 88. Djokanovic A. 44. Glumac T. (C) 14. Kocaturk Y. 70. Yildirim O. 8. Goksu S. 17. Hoti E. 75. Kaplan E. 27. Soukou C. 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.
Substitutes
8. Akgun S. 11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 16. Kabak A. 20. Ozhan F. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 34. Anac E. (G) 20. Babacan A. 12. Kosoko T. 92. Ozdemir T. 97. Saitoglu Y. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Bolukbasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Soukou C. 🟨,
14', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kocaturk Y. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
50', Goksu S. 🟨,
62', Yildirim O. 🟨,
63', Tozlu E. (Pen),
66', 1 - 0, Fettahoglu M. ⚽,
70', Soukou C. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
71', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
73', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
73', Keser B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
73', Crociata G. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
76', Djokanovic A. ↓, Saitoglu Y. ↑,
79', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Sylla C. ⚽, Baiye B. (A),
85', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
90+1', Sylla C. 🟨,
90+4', Ekincier B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.

Erzurumspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umraniyespor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Erzurumspor is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny (Red Card)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
18.10.25	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Erzurumspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Adana Demirspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTTTW
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Umraniyespor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Umraniyespor - Igdirspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.05.25	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	2:0
05.01.25	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	0:0
05.05.24	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	2:0
20.12.23	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	0:3
Turkish First League
13.02.22	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	3:3
14.09.21	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	0:2

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