Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)


	Bolívar		The Strongest

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.10
	1.68	3.65	4.00	Watch
	1.86	3.95	3.55
	1.84	3.84	3.78	Watch
	1.85	3.60	3.20
	1.85	3.58	3.55	Watch
	1.95	3.60	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)	3.67 ↑ (3.31)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
49.1%

Draw
24.8%

The Strongest
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bolívar - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 5. Echeverria S. 16. Zabala L. 35. Freita E. 26. Saavedra E. (C) 20. Sejas C. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 19. Garcia J. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 77. Romero D.	12. Valdivia D. (G) 22. Saucedo W. 4. Chiatti M. 5. Jusino A. (C) 29. Portuncho Y. 21. Quaglio F. 10. Castro R. 6. Welch J. 30. Arrascaita J. 9. Ventura C. 14. Lom D.
Substitutes
10. Arce B. 3. Arreaga X. 27. Asprilla D. 22. Ayhuana A. 99. Batallini D. 9. Cauteruccio M. 12. Lopez J. (G) 80. Melgar C. A. 33. Mena F. 11. Miranda B. 4. Sagredo J. 7. Velasquez J.	15. Arce S. 31. Cuellar J. 16. Cuellar V. 17. Estacio A. 34. Melgar S. 33. Mendoza K. (G) 99. Pachu 3. Pedraza P. 36. Ribera R. 19. Roca C. 7. Romay K. 26. Sotomayor G.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Zago A. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Saavedra E. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Arrascaita J. ⚽, Quaglio F. (A),
14', 2 - 1, Romero D. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 3 - 1, Chavez Cruz L. L. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
27', Saavedra E. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
42', Vaca Moreno E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castro R. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
51', 4 - 1, Sejas C. ⚽,
58', Lom D. ↓, Pachu ↑,
58', Ventura C. ↓, Estacio A. ↑,
58', Saucedo W. ↓, Romay K. ↑,
60', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
68', Chavez Cruz L. L. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
68', Garcia J. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
79', Chiatti M. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
85', Sejas C. ↓, Ayhuana A. ↑,
85', Romero D. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Sotomayor G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 3.

Bolívar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, The Strongest has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bolívar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:33. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolívar won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Bolívar - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Bolívar - ABB	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Real Oruro - Bolívar	2:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	São Paulo - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.08.26	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Bolívar - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWT
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - The Strongest	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	4:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.08.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.07.26	The Strongest - Bolívar	1:1
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
06.02.26	Bolívar - The Strongest	1:0 penalties
30.01.26	The Strongest - Bolívar	2:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.11.25	The Strongest - Bolívar	2:3
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.11.25	The Strongest - Bolívar	3:5
27.08.25	Bolívar - The Strongest	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.06.25	Bolívar - The Strongest	1:2

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