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Current Win Probability
Guabirá 66.4%
Draw 18.1%
The Strongest 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61%
22.1%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
20.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.
The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Guabirá - The Strongest Predictions
Users Predictions:
Guabirá will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guabirá will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Arauz J. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 2. Barro J. 29. Masskooni N. 37. Chavez T. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 22. Tellez M. 91. Abrego V.
12. Valdivia D. (G) 27. Saavedra 34. Melgar S. 15. Arce S. 19. Roca C. 16. Cuellar V. 10. Castro R. (C) 22. Saucedo W. 37. Espiritu P. 24. Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. 99. Pachu
Substitutes
9. Alarcon F. 28. Baigorria Y. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 14. Parada J. 21. Portillo M. 4. Ruiz A. 88. Ursino L.
28. Arrascaita H. 35. Buezo G. 40. Cueto L. 38. Lazaro J. 33. Mendoza K. (G) 32. Moy L. 36. Ribera R.
Coaches
Eguez L.
Zago A. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Peredo G. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Peredo G. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
32', 2 - 0, Anez C. ⚽, Abrego V. (A),
36', Chavez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. ↓, Cueto L. ↑,
46', Roca C. ↓, Sossa E. ↑,
46', Melgar S. ↓, Ribera R. ↑,
52', Espiritu P. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
59', Tellez M. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
59', Chavez T. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
71', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
71', Peredo G. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
80', Abrego V. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Rafinha ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
83', Saucedo W. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ribera R. ⚽, Sossa E. (A),
Preview
The Strongest is Qualified for Copa Pacena (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
Guabirá has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The Strongest shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The Strongest could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Guabirá is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:41 (averaging 1.5:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guabirá against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:17 goals (averaging 1.9:1.7 per game).
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Arauz J. (G) 
Barro J. 
Thiago Ribeiro 
Maciel M. 
