Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Bonner		Rot-Weiß Ahlen

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.1
	3.25	3.45	2
	2.85	3.65	2.14
	3.01	3.48	2.25
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.02	3.62	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.43)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonner
30.2%

Draw
26.3%

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

20.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bonner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rot-Weiß Ahlen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bonner - Rot Weiß Ahlen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent matches Bonner is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ahlen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ahlen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bonner won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bonner won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
20.11.21	Bonner - Lippstadt 08	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Rödinghausen - Bonner	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Bonner - Schalke 04 II	4:3 ✺
30.10.21	Wegberg-Beeck - Bonner	1:3 ✺
22.10.21	Bonner - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
20.11.21	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wegberg-Beeck	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	4:1 ✺
30.10.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
27.02.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bonner	1:2
03.10.20	Bonner - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:2
18.02.17	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bonner	1:1
14.08.16	Bonner - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:1

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