The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bonnyrigg Rose 28.3%
Draw 23.5%
East Kilbride 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
24.8%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
24%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bonnyrigg Rose's form might have worsened.
East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting East Kilbride's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for East Kilbride, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bonnyrigg Rose - East Kilbride Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. (C) 3. Martyniuk N. 18. Somerville K. 22. Connolly C. 6. Murphy S. 10. Currie L. 8. Arnott A. 19. Ross C. 9. McGachie K.
1. Truesdale C. (G) 5. Fagan S. 23. McGregor J. 4. Hamilton J. 19. Mimnaugh R. 25. Spence L. 10. Robertson J. 6. Leitch J. 8. Balde J. 7. Flanagan N. 9. Elliott C.
Substitutes
16. Barnes L. 7. Ferrie M. 15. Laing J. 20. Lennon G. 11. Leslie C. 25. McNeil A. (G) 21. Porteous R.
17. Craik Z. 2. Ferguson D. 12. Ferguson S. 16. Livingstone A. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 14. McKinley C. 22. McShane I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Young K. 🟨,
21', Spence L. 🟨,
40', Somerville K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Mailer A. ↓, Lennon G. ↑,
65', Flanagan N. 🟨,
67', Murphy S. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
77', Somerville K. ↓, Ferrie M. ↑,
82', Arnott A. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
Recent performances by Bonnyrigg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
East Kilbride is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, East Kilbride has had a series of home games.
East Kilbride might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonnyrigg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home match between the teams, Bonnyrigg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Bonnyrigg Rose - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Martin P. (G) 
Balde J. 
Barnes L. 
Lennon G. 
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