Match Info

League Two - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Stranraer FC LIVE


	Stranraer		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	3.4	3.55	1.98
	3.2	3.49	2.15
	3.41	3.57	1.94	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.3
	3.28	3.79	2
	3.4	3.55	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.9)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	2.08 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stranraer
29.2%

Draw
26.4%

Bonnyrigg Rose
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.8%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.7%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bonnyrigg will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonnyrigg: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bonnyrigg Rose will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lane J. (G) 2. Robertson S. 5. Ross C. 26. Reid L. 19. Ecrepont F. 11. Russell M. 17. McKnight K. 16. Quigg A. 10. Dunlop E. 18. Guthrie M. 25. Edgar R.	1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 22. Connolly C. 3. Martyniuk N. 18. Somerville K. 8. Arnott A. 6. Murphy S. 10. Currie L. 16. Aiken M. 19. Ross C. 9. McGachie K.
Substitutes
3. Brindley T. 22. Ellis J. 15. Hilferty A. 1. Kane S. (G) 9. Mitchell H. 7. Wilde A.	25. Andrews M. (G) 7. Ferrie M. 20. Lennon G. 21. Porteous R. 24. Watson B. 4. Young K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Edgar R. 🟨,
60', Edgar R. ↓, Mitchell H. ↑,
66', 🟨,
68', McGachie K. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Arnott A. ⚽,
71', Mailer A. ↓, Lennon G. ↑,
75', Robertson S. ↓, Brindley T. ↑,
76', Aiken M. 🟨,
80', McKnight K. ↓, Hilferty A. ↑,
80', Dunlop E. ↓, Wilde A. ↑,
80', Guthrie M. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
84', Ross C. 🟨,
85', Murphy S. ↓, Watson B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 1.

Recent form of Stranraer has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bonnyrigg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
26.04.25	Elgin City - Stranraer	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Spartans - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Stranraer - Clyde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
26.04.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
28.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	3:1
16.11.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:2
31.08.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	2:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.08.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1
Scottish League Two
30.03.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1
03.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	0:0
16.12.23	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1

Upcoming Matches