Match Info

League Two - Round 34

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.5
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.69	3.55	4.9
	1.74	3.4	5.41
	1.7	3.3	5.04	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.67	3.58	4.9
	1.69	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.23)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	5.02 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
55.5%

Draw
26.1%

Bonnyrigg Rose
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forfar Athletic's performance.

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bonnyrigg Rose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forfar Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bonnyrigg Rose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Forfar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forfar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Logan C. 5. Allan M. 6. Hutchinson A. 24. Lemon M. 18. McAllister R. 20. Slater C. 26. Ferguson A. 12. Denholm D. 9. Skelly J. 22. Rodden B.	1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 3. Martyniuk N. 22. Connolly C. 18. Somerville K. 8. Arnott A. 6. Murphy S. 10. Currie L. 16. Aiken M. 9. McGachie K. 19. Ross C.
Substitutes
19. Cannon N. 11. Inglis K. 7. MacLean R. 8. Malcolm B. 14. McLean R. 21. Paris Z. (G) 16. Robson F. 3. Sweenie-Rowe M. 23. Young S.	25. Brown F. (G) 11. Elliot C. 4. Gardiner C. 15. Hogg C. 20. Lennon G. 24. Watson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Martyniuk N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Denholm D. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
47', Aiken M. 🟨,
57', McGachie K. 🟨,
58', Murphy S. 🟨,
66', Skelly J. ↓, Cannon N. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Ross C. ⚽, Arnott A. (A),
72', Rodden B. ↓, Inglis K. ↑,
75', McGachie K. ↓, Watson B. ↑,
85', Ferguson A. ↓, Robson F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forfar won 3.

Recent matches Forfar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bonnyrigg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Forfar is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Forfar won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Forfar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
12.04.25	Clyde - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Forfar Athletic - Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTWL
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
12.04.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Clyde - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
22.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:2
14.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:1
28.09.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:1
04.05.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	4:0
27.01.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0
18.11.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:2
26.08.23	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:2

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