Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca B2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday


	Bonsucesso		Niteroiense

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.17	4.35
	1.68	3.41	5.02	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.67	3.44	4.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.47)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	4.59 ↓ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonsucesso
54.2%

Draw
26.1%

Niteroiense
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

24.3%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bonsucesso's form might have worsened.

Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niteroiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonsucesso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niteroiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bonsucesso - Niteroiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 4)
54', 1 - 0, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Silva T. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Sassa ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Vinicius Carvalho ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Matheuzinho M. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, Matheuzinho M. ⚽,
89', 3 - 4, Bruno Gallo ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
20.11.24	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Bonsucesso - Niteroiense	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Zinza - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
07.11.24	Bonsucesso - Rio São Paulo	6:0 ✺
04.11.24	7 de Abril - Bonsucesso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
20.11.24	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Bonsucesso - Niteroiense	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Niteroiense - Uni Souza	4:0 ✺
06.11.24	Serra Macaense - Niteroiense	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Mageense - Niteroiense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
20.11.24	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	0:2
14.11.24	Bonsucesso - Niteroiense	2:1

Bonsucesso - Niteroiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide