The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bordeaux 30.1%
Draw 28%
Lens 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
27.5%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
20.4%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bordeaux that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
26.2%
52.4%
Bordeaux - Lens Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 9 - 21.4%). Lens will win (votes: 22 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 26.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 37.3% – 67.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (17.76%), has project points - 38, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lens has the most likely position - 5 (6.7%), has project points - 53, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bordeaux is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Lens will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
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