Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rennes		Lens

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.55	2.72
	2.56	3.61	2.79
	2.22	2.12	7.00	Watch
	2.57	3.67	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.38)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)	3.61 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
41.1%

Draw
30.8%

Lens
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	43.7%	31.2%

Rennes - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Lens will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 40%). Lens (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lens (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lens (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lens (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Lens (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 97. Jacquet J. 24. Rouault A. 45. Camara M. 10. Blas L. 8. Fofana S. (C) 6. Cisse D. 26. Merlin Q. 7. Embolo B. 9. Lepaul E.	40. Risser R. (G) 24. Gradit J. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 33. Hateboer H. 39. Meite M. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 21. Rongier V. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 11. Tamari M.	23. Abdulhamid S. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 25. Ganiou I. 29. Guilavogui M. 1. Gurtner R. (G) 13. Jhoanner Chavez 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Beye H.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Gradit J. 🟥,
29', Cisse D. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
40', Thomasson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
61', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
61', Embolo B. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
62', Blas L. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
63', Camara M. 🟨,
78', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
80', Merlin Q. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
85', Nagida M. 🟨,
90+2', Jacquet J. 🟨,
90+3', Guilavogui M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Groin Injury) Kamara G. (Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Bermont A. (International duty) Machado D. (Knee Injury) Sylla F. (International duty)

There are questionable in Rennes: Rongier V. (Calf Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Rennes - Lyon	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Angers - Rennes	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Lorient - Rennes	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTLW
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lens - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.03.25	Lens - Rennes	1:0
21.09.24	Rennes - Lens	1:1
12.05.24	Rennes - Lens	1:1
20.08.23	Lens - Rennes	1:1
01.04.23	Rennes - Lens	0:1
27.08.22	Lens - Rennes	2:1
08.01.22	Lens - Rennes	1:0

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