Match Info

Date: 15 August 2021, Sunday


	Olympique Marseille		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.53	4.2	6.1	Watch
	1.51	4.3	6
	1.55	4.38	6.63
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.53	4.35	6.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	4.27 ↑ (4.26)	6.38 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
62.8%

Draw
22.3%

Bordeaux
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

18.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	6.9%	6.3%

Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (164 of 189 users predict this - 86.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.94% – 91.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Marseille has the most likely position - 3 (9.95%), has project points - 59, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (22%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (14.91%), has project points - 40, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marseille is indisputable favorite.

In this match Marseille is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Marseille won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
08.08.21	Montpellier - Olympique Marseille	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Olympique Marseille - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
28.07.21	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
25.07.21	Benfica - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
21.07.21	Braga - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWTT
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
08.08.21	Bordeaux - Clermont	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Troyes - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Lorient - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
18.07.21	Bordeaux - Caen	2:1 ✺
16.07.21	Bordeaux - Niort	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.02.21	Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille	0:0
17.10.20	Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux	3:1
02.02.20	Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille	0:0
08.12.19	Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux	3:1
Club Friendly
18.07.19	Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux	2:1
French Ligue 1
05.04.19	Bordeaux - Olympique Marseille	2:0
05.02.19	Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux	1:0

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