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Current Win Probability
Bordeaux 19.3%
Draw 21.3%
Lyon 59.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
25.1%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
20.4%
65%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.6%
21.6%
60.8%
Bordeaux - Lyon Predictions
Users Predictions:
74 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 13 - 17.6%). Lyon will win (votes: 45 - 60.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 21.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 49.7% โ 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation) and 12).
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (17.85%), has project points - 36, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lyon has the most likely position - 3 (11.1%), has project points - 59, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (22%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bordeaux is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bordeaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lyon is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-19.