Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Metz		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.25	3.15
	2.38	3.22	3.31
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.28	3.3	3.16	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.22)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
41%

Draw
29.2%

Bordeaux
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	47.4%	15.8%

Metz - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Metz has the most likely position - 4 (32.38%), project points - 65, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a chance of promoted (22%), a very small chance of win league (3%).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 2 (45.09%), project points - 70, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a good chance of promoted (63%), a chance of win league (16%).

This event has quality 46, very big importance 92, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Metz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Metz won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Pau - Metz	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Metz - Laval	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Quevilly - Metz	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Metz - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Annecy - Metz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Guingamp - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bordeaux - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Sochaux - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Bordeaux - Metz	2:0
French Ligue 1
10.04.22	Bordeaux - Metz	3:1
21.11.21	Metz - Bordeaux	3:3
27.02.21	Bordeaux - Metz	1:2
06.01.21	Metz - Bordeaux	0:0
08.02.20	Metz - Bordeaux	1:2
14.09.19	Bordeaux - Metz	2:0

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