Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports


	Bordeaux		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.74	3.95
	1.95	3.74	3.91
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.9	3.7	3.76	Watch
	1.93	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	3.67 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
48.5%

Draw
25.9%

Saint-Étienne
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Saint-Étienne aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Bordeaux - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Bordeaux will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Straczek R. (G) 4. Bokele M. 2. Gregersen S. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 20. Diaz P. 6. Ignatenko D. 8. Sissokho I. 17. Elis A. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Livolant J.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 23. Briancon A. (C) 19. Petrot L. 7. Monconduit T. 6. Bouchouari B. 18. Cafaro M. 29. Moueffek A. 14. Chambost D. 9. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
77. Badji A. 30. Davitashvili Z. 81. De Lima M. 19. Ekomie J. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 24. Marcelin J. 11. Pitu A.	52. Bladi D. 10. Charbonier G. 17. Diarra S. 26. Fomba L. 42. Green E. (G) 22. Lobry V. 3. Nade M.
Coaches
Riera A.	Huard L.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 1.

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Bordeaux have a series of guest games.

Bordeaux will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 9 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Angoulême - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Quevilly - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Bordeaux - Troyes	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
17.11.23	Canet Roussillon - Bordeaux	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- AS Saint-Étienne
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Amiens - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.03.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:1
10.09.22	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:1
French Ligue 1
20.04.22	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	2:2
18.09.21	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:2
11.04.21	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	4:1
16.12.20	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:2

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