Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Bordeaux		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.5
	1.44	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.67	7.43
	1.44	4.7	7.51
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.43	4.65	6.75	Watch
	1.45	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.52 ↑ (4.5)	6.95 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
65.6%

Draw
20.8%

Troyes
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.2%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+2%)

The ML Model estimate for Troyes aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Bordeaux - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Straczek R. (G) 34. Michelin C. 2. Gregersen S. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 6. Ignatenko D. 7. Livolant J. 20. Diaz P. 10. Weissbeck G. 19. Ekomie J. 9. Vipotnik Z. 30. Davitashvili Z.	38. Alemdar D. (G) 8. Boura I. 5. Tahrat M. 3. Ndiaye A. 12. Conte A. 28. Diop M. 24. Chavalerin X. (C) 34. Lefebvre A. 10. M'Changama Y. 27. Dong K. 11. Said R.
Substitutes
4. Bokele M. 81. De Lima M. 17. Elis A. 14. Nsimba V. 11. Pitu A. 97. Rouyard D. (G) 8. Sissokho I.	26. Cervantes N. 31. Dongmo D. 32. Hamdi M. 33. Kohon R. 16. Lemaitre N. (G) 39. Mazou-Sacko D. 23. Olaitan J.
Coaches
Riera A.	Diarra A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 3.

Bordeaux is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Troyes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bordeaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bordeaux is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
17.11.23	Canet Roussillon - Bordeaux	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Bordeaux - Annecy	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Bastia - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bordeaux - Rodez	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Épinal - Troyes	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Ajaccio - Troyes	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Troyes - Caen	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Paris FC - Troyes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Bordeaux - Troyes	0:2
12.12.21	Troyes - Bordeaux	1:2
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Troyes - Bordeaux	1:1
French Ligue 1
13.01.18	Troyes - Bordeaux	0:1
26.08.17	Bordeaux - Troyes	2:1
30.04.16	Troyes - Bordeaux	2:4
25.10.15	Bordeaux - Troyes	1:0

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