Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Daystar Pacific


	Boreham Wood		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	4.2
	1.65	3.95	4.45
	1.74	4.01	4.51
	1.72	4.01	4.21	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4
	1.77	3.76	4.22	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.05)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)	4.26 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
54.1%

Draw
24%

Newport County
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

25.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreham Wood's performance.

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newport County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Boreham Wood - Newport County Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Boreham Wood will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Curd T. (G) 15. King J. 16. Reynolds C. (C) 5. Bush Ch. 12. Newton J. 6. O'Connell C. 23. Booty R. 7. Sousa E. 8. Brunt Z. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.	1. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 25. Odimayo A. 6. Brennan C. (C) 17. Davies T. 20. Lloyd B. 44. Braybrooke S. 14. Whitmore K. 7. Kamwa B. 19. Garner G. 24. Opoku N.
Substitutes
11. Benton J. 17. Clayden C. 2. Coxe C. 3. Ilesanmi F. 18. Norris L. 4. Payne J. 20. Richardson L.	27. Alexander-Walker M. 11. Antwi C. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 5. Clarke J. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 23. Reindorf M. 21. Spellman M. 12. Thomas J. 28. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Garrard L.	Fuchs Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, King J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Booty R. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Rush M. ⚽, Sousa E. (A),
60', Ogunneye H. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
60', Kamwa B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
70', Braybrooke S. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
71', Opoku N. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
75', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,
75', Newton J. ↓, Ilesanmi F. ↑,
82', Garner G. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
86', Rush M. ↓, Norris L. ↑,
90', Lloyd B. 🟨,
90+1', Brunt Z. ↓, Payne J. ↑,

Preview

Boreham Wood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Newport is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boreham Wood has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boreham Wood is the team to beat.

We predict that Boreham Wood will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Newport County - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League Cup
02.12.25	Boreham Wood - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Boreham Wood - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Boreham Wood - Leicester City U21	4:3 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Gateshead - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Boreham Wood - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Newport County
English League Two
29.11.25	Newport County - Barrow	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Oldham Athletic - Newport County	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Newport County - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Newport County - Walsall	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

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