The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 22.6%
Draw 26.7%
Walsall 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
26.4%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
26.3%
51.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Newport County - Walsall Predictions
Users Predictions:
Walsall will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Walsall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 15. Jenkins L. (C) 2. Evans C. 12. Thomas J. 11. Antwi C. 44. Braybrooke S. 14. Whitmore K. 19. Garner G. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 20. Lloyd B.
1. Roberts M. (G) 33. Browne R. 4. Flint A. (C) 30. Weir E. 2. Barrett C. 8. Lakin C. 29. Finnigan R. 17. Clarke C. 18. Harper V. 15. Kanu D. 19. Pressley A.
Substitutes
27. Alexander-Walker M. 6. Brennan C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 7. Kamwa B. 25. Odimayo A. 23. Reindorf M. 1. Tzanev N. (G)
37. Adomah A. 6. Farquharson P. 12. Hornby S. (G) 9. Matt J. 25. Okeke J. 31. Richards R. 28. Warrington L.
Coaches
Hughes D.
Sadler M. J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
16', 1 - 0, Whitmore K. ⚽, Garner G. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Kanu D. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Finnigan R. ⚽,
29', Thomas J. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
38', 1 - 3, Finnigan R. ⚽,
44', 2 - 3, Garner G. ⚽, Baker-Richardson C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
50', Flint A. 🟨,
52', 2 - 4, Browne R. ⚽, Weir E. (A),
57', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
61', Barrett C. 🟨,
61', Lloyd B. 🟨,
65', Whitmore K. 🟨,
69', Whitmore K. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
69', Lloyd B. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
70', Pressley A. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
77', Browne R. ↓, Farquharson P. ↑,
78', Finnigan R. ↓, Warrington L. ↑,
78', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
90+2', Weir E. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
Newport is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Walsall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Walsall is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
There will not play in Walsall: Hancock M.
(Knee Injury)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker M.
(Inactive)
Opoku N.
(Injury)
Warner J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Walsall: Burke H.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Newport County - the odds 4.33 are the expected chance of winning is 21.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.