Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Borja		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.9	1.85
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	4.6	2.96	1.79
	4.61	2.96	1.79
	4.68	3.06	1.8
	4.2	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.58)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borja
20.5%

Draw
30%

Calamocha
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

24.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borja than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calamocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The competitors look crappy now.

Calamocha will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Borja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Borja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Borja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
03.03.24	Épila - Borja	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Borja - Caspe	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Borja - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Belchite - Borja	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Borja - Fraga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTTLT
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
03.03.24	Huesca B - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Calamocha - Épila	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Caspe - Calamocha	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Calamocha - Belchite	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Fraga - Calamocha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
13.03.22	Borja - Calamocha	0:1
29.09.19	Calamocha - Borja	3:3
31.03.19	Calamocha - Borja	2:0

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