Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Borneo Samarinda		Bali United Pusam

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	2.65
	2.20	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.46	3.70	2.73
	2.22	3.79	2.82	Watch
	2.40	3.55	2.70
	2.26	3.38	2.61
	2.28	3.50	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.82)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)	2.7 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
40%

Draw
26.1%

Bali United Pusam
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borneo Samarinda's form might have worsened.

Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bali United Pusam's recent form is better than expected.

Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kadu (G) 55. Sonriza D. 77. Christian 16. Teguh K. 23. Caxambu 36. Warman A. 8. Astina M. 10. Villa J. (C) 35. Mendonca I. 9. Rubio 26. Habib A.	1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 7. Goppel T. 4. Arel K. 14. Receveur T. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 8. Yachida T. 6. Wilson B. 20. van der Sande J. 47. Arjuna R. 11. Balk R. 22. Geypens T.
Substitutes
33. Adi R. 19. Diarra M. 17. Fachgi R. 65. Gabriel Oliveira 66. Hardiansyah D. 12. Marasabessy M. 24. Michiels D. 94. Nurdiansyah D. 95. Ohorella I. 18. Samir H. 27. Setiawan A. (G) 6. Zikrak I.	5. Adi B. 27. Barusu R. 16. Dwi A. 10. Herdman J. 41. Jaya I. 18. Kadek Agung 55. Made T. 19. Raven J. 56. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 21. Wayan Arta (G)
Coaches
Jeronimo M.	Jansen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Teguh K. ↓, Marasabessy M. ↑,
32', Wilson B. 🟨,
35', Marasabessy M. 🟥,
35', Arjuna R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rubio ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Villa J. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Wilson B. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
62', Warman A. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
68', Arel K. ↓, Jaya I. ↑,
70', Receveur T. 🟥,
73', Astina M. ↓, Michiels D. ↑,
73', Habib A. ↓, Gabriel Oliveira ↑,
79', Yachida T. ↓, Dwi A. ↑,
79', van der Sande J. ↓, Raven J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 3.

Bali United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Borneo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Borneo has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:25 (averaging 2.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Borneo against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 27:6 goals (averaging 2.7:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bali United	4	3	0	1	12:4	8	9
11	Borneo	4	2	0	2	3:4	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Borneo Samarinda - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.04%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
16.09.26	Borneo Samarinda - Dewa United	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Persijap Jepara - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Borneo Samarinda - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.26	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	1:3 ✺
Indonesian Super League
23.05.26	Borneo Samarinda - Java United	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW
- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
12.09.26	Bali United Pusam - Isenmulang Kalteng	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Bali United Pusam - PSS Sleman	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Persib Bandung - Bali United Pusam	3:2 ✺
13.08.26	Bali United Pusam - Sabah FA	1:2 ✺
Indonesian Super League
22.05.26	Dewa United - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.05.26	Bali United Pusam - Borneo Samarinda	2:3
30.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	0:1
28.01.25	Bali United Pusam - Borneo Samarinda	3:2
27.08.24	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	2:0
30.05.24	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	4:2
25.05.24	Bali United Pusam - Borneo Samarinda	0:0
12.11.23	Bali United Pusam - Borneo Samarinda	1:2

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