Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)


	Borneo Samarinda		Bhayangkara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.78	3.3	4.05
	1.84	3.31	4.77
	1.85	3.33	4.25	Watch
	1.76	3.34	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)	3.4 ↓ (3.83)	4.48 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
52.4%

Draw
27.1%

Bhayangkara
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borneo Samarinda's form might have worsened.

Bhayangkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Borneo Samarinda - Bhayangkara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Bhayangkara (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borneo Samarinda will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 1 - 50%). Bhayangkara (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Argawinata N. (G) 14. Fathurrahman F. 16. Teguh K. 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 8. Hirose K. 66. Hardiansyah D. 20. Villa J. 10. Peralta M. 32. Douglas Coutinho 7. Maicon Souza	12. Awan Setho (G) 2. Gede P. 4. Sadiki N. 15. Damjanovic S. 13. Idrus A. 5. Moises Gaucho 30. Ilic C. 58. Missa F. 10. Nieto A. 49. Borgelin S. 31. Plazonja S.
Substitutes
15. Adit F. 52. Ahmad Agung 3. Alhafiz H. 54. Buffon A. 19. Camara O. 11. Fachgi R. 9. Joel Vinicius 88. Kuswardani D. 24. Michiels D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.	11. Andika F. 41. Ferarri M. 8. Ginanjar 29. Handika R. (G) 96. Kurnia R. 88. Racic D. 20. Rizki S. 1. Savik A. (G) 9. Spasojevic I. 23. Subo W. 45. Syawal R. 19. TM Ichsan
Coaches
Lefundes F.	Munster P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ilic C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Missa F. ↓, Rizki S. ↑,
63', Maicon Souza ↓, Joel Vinicius ↑,
63', 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽, Hirose K. (A),
76', Nieto A. ↓, Kurnia R. ↑,
76', Plazonja S. ↓, Spasojevic I. ↑,
84', Hardiansyah D. ↓, Ahmad Agung ↑,
85', Ilic C. ↓, Subo W. ↑,
85', Borgelin S. ↓, Racic D. ↑,
90+1', Villa J. ↓, Sihran M. ↑,
90+3', Moises Gaucho 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 2.

In this match, Borneo is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
23.05.25	Persik Kediri - Borneo Samarinda	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persija Jakarta	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWW
- Bhayangkara FC
Indonesian Championship
26.02.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Bhayangkara	2:1 ET ✺
18.02.25	Bhayangkara - PSKC Cimahi	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Persijap Jepara - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Bhayangkara - Persela Lamongan	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Persela Lamongan - Bhayangkara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
26.02.24	Borneo Samarinda - Bhayangkara	4:0
18.08.23	Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda	0:2
25.02.23	Borneo Samarinda - Bhayangkara	1:3
13.09.22	Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda	2:2
16.02.22	Borneo Samarinda - Bhayangkara	1:1
27.10.21	Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda	2:1
22.09.19	Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda	1:1

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