Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Borneo Samarinda		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.88	3.35	3.55	Watch
	1.92	3.65	4.18
	2	3.5	3.53	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.88	3.58	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	3.81 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
49.4%

Draw
26.5%

Persebaya Surabaya
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Argawinata N. (C) 54. Buffon A. 16. Teguh K. 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 8. Hirose K. 50. Enero 14. Anez M. 10. Peralta M. 20. Villa J. 9. Obieta K.	21. Ari E. (G) 33. Araya K. 5. Mitrevski R. 24. Lelis L. S. 17. Jefferson 7. Rivera F. 55. Putra S. 88. Raickovic M. 22. Freitas Gali 77. Malik R. 10. Bruno (C)
Substitutes
52. Ahmad Agung 7. Astina M. 19. Camara O. 5. Cleylton 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 3. Idrus A. 77. Khanafi M. 24. Michiels D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.	14. Ardiansyah R. 81. Baihaqi M. 83. Bruno Paraiba 8. Fernando O. 68. Firmansyah T. 66. Kardanu S. 16. Matos P. 72. Maulana A. 78. Mujtaba A. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
Coaches
Lefundes F.	Tavares B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Villa J. ⚽, Anez M. (A),
27', Putra S. 🟨,
30', Araya K. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Putra S. ↓, Firmansyah T. ↑,
46', Malik R. ↓, Ardiansyah R. ↑,
46', Freitas Gali ↓, Matos P. ↑,
54', Anez M. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Villa J. ⚽,
61', Araya K. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽, Caxambu (A),
66', Raickovic M. ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Obieta K. ⚽,
70', Villa J. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
70', Hirose K. ↓, Cleylton ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Lelis L. S. ⚽,
75', Ramadhani A. 🟨,
78', Ardiansyah R. 🟨,
86', Peralta M. ↓, Sihran M. ↑,
86', Enero ↓, Hardiansyah D. ↑,
90+2', Buffon A. ↓, Michiels D. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 1, Astina M. ⚽, Anez M. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 1.

Borneo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Persebaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Borneo is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Persebaya	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
12	Borneo	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
03.03.26	Persija Jakarta - Borneo Samarinda	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Dewa United - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Borneo Samarinda - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWW
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
02.03.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Persijap Jepara - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Bhayangkara	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
20.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:2
18.05.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1
20.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1
07.03.24	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1
03.09.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1
03.02.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	3:2
19.08.22	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1

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