Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium (Pamekasan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Madura United		Borneo Samarinda

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.55	1.78	Watch
	4.06	3.89	1.84
	3.91	3.96	1.78	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.91	3.6	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	3.7 ↓ (3.74)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Madura United
23.6%

Draw
24.8%

Borneo Samarinda
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.4%

24.8%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

23.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Madura United - Borneo Samarinda Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Borneo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Diky M. (G) 2. Sasongko N. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 5. Palic K. 24. Muslihuddin T. 7. Nufiandani A. 4. Wehrmann J. 11. Lulinha (C) 9. Junior Brandao	1. Argawinata N. (C) 54. Buffon A. 5. Cleylton 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 20. Villa J. 50. Enero 8. Hirose K. 6. Zikrak I. 9. Obieta K. 10. Peralta M.
Substitutes
25. Afrisal R. 77. Alesandro F. 23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 10. Iran Junior 15. Numberi G. 19. Riquelme 12. Rizki F. 17. Sitanggang P. 28. Vedhayanto K.	52. Ahmad Agung 14. Anez M. 7. Astina M. 19. Camara O. 11. Fachgi R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 3. Idrus A. 24. Michiels D. 16. Teguh K. 30. Trisna S. (G)
Coaches
Biasi Parreira C. E.	Lefundes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Obieta K. ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
31', Nufiandani A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Nduwarugira C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zikrak I. ↓, Teguh K. ↑,
55', Nufiandani A. ↓, Alesandro F. ↑,
55', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Iran Junior ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Obieta K. ⚽, Villa J. (A),
67', Junior Brandao ↓, Riquelme ↑,
67', Sasongko N. ↓, Numberi G. ↑,
72', Obieta K. ↓, Anez M. ↑,
72', Buffon A. ↓, Fachgi R. ↑,
80', Wehrmann J. ↓, Afrisal R. ↑,
82', Caxambu ↓, Idrus A. ↑,
84', Villa J. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Peralta M. ⚽, Teguh K. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 2.

Madura United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Borneo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Borneo is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Madura United	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10
12	Borneo	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Borneo Samarinda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.74%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
07.03.26	Persita Tangerang - Madura United	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	Madura United - Java United	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Persib Bandung - Madura United	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Madura United - Arema	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Persis Solo - Madura United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT
- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
15.03.26	Borneo Samarinda - Persib Bandung	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	5:1 ✺
03.03.26	Persija Jakarta - Borneo Samarinda	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Dewa United - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
22.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	1:0
10.05.25	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	2:3
14.12.24	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	5:0
19.05.24	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	2:3
15.05.24	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	1:0
17.04.24	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	0:4
01.10.23	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	1:2

Upcoming Matches