Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 30

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSIS Semarang		Borneo Samarinda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.35	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.47	3.55	2.13
	3.61	3.52	1.98	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	3.42	3.32	1.98	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.97)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	2 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIS Semarang
26.6%

Draw
27.6%

Borneo Samarinda
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.4%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIS Semarang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Borneo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Semarang (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borneo Samarinda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Semarang (votes: 1 - 25%). Borneo (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 25. Ferizal S. 5. Ferrari J. 6. Lucas 3. Alhafiz H. 21. Diarra B. 19. Dewangga A. 29. David M. (C) 7. Freitas Gali 11. Sudi A. 68. Setiawan T.	25. Argawinata N. (G) 56. Fathurrahman F. 2. Ronaldo 5. Gabriel Furtado (C) 22. Nduwarugira C. 8. Hirose K. 50. Enero 97. Berguinho 23. Peralta M. 68. Jusuf H. 99. Amrullah M.
Substitutes
16. Apriliansyah R. 45. Buddin S. 52. Darmawan R. (G) 72. Febrianatta Z. 99. Gustavo Souza 96. Maulana M. 12. Rahman A. 24. Ramdhani W. 69. Rumbino D. 31. Syawal R. 56. Syuhada R. 26. Trisna S. (G)	11. Adsit G. 54. Buffon A. 63. Fasya D. (G) 15. Guntara L. 66. Hardiansyah D. 7. Matheus Pato 24. Michiels D. 28. Puhiri T. 16. Teguh K. 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Agius G.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽, Fathurrahman F. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Berguinho ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
39', 0 - 3, Ronaldo ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
45+1', 0 - 4, Jusuf H. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Dewangga A. 🟨,
55', 1 - 4, Ferizal S. ⚽, Setiawan T. (A),
59', Diarra B. 🟨,
62', Sudi A. ↓, Gustavo Souza ↑,
64', Jusuf H. ↓, Matheus Pato ↑,
64', Berguinho ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
66', 2 - 4, Ferrari J. ⚽,
71', Amrullah M. ↓, Teguh K. ↑,
71', Enero ↓, Guntara L. ↑,
76', Lucas ↓, Syawal R. ↑,
76', Ferizal S. ↓, Rumbino D. ↑,
88', Fathurrahman F. ↓, Michiels D. ↑,
89', Alhafiz H. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
89', Setiawan T. ↓, Maulana M. ↑,
90+4', Michiels D. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 5, Peralta M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Semarang won 0.

Semarang is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borneo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Semarang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borneo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Semarang won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Semarang won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
17.04.25	Semen Padang - PSIS Semarang	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	PSIS Semarang - Persik Kediri	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIS Semarang	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLTL
- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
18.04.25	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
10.03.25	Dewa United - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
06.03.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Borneo Samarinda	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persis Solo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
06.12.24	Borneo Samarinda - PSIS Semarang	0:0
09.12.23	Borneo Samarinda - PSIS Semarang	2:0
28.07.23	PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda	0:0
12.03.23	Borneo Samarinda - PSIS Semarang	6:1
09.12.22	PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda	2:4
24.02.22	Borneo Samarinda - PSIS Semarang	1:1
06.11.21	PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda	0:1

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