Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 8
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
World	Onefootball app


	Borussia Dortmund II		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.5	2.9
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.37	3.6	2.98
	2.32	3.42	2.93	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.27	3.5	2.84	Watch
	2.26	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.45)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
41%

Draw
26.7%

Alemannia Aachen
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 29. Jessen N. 34. Luhrs Y. 15. Huning B. 42. Kabar A. 8. Roggow F. 6. Azhil A. 5. Foti A. 20. Hettwer J. 14. Eberwein M. 26. Drakas B.	23. Bordner E. (G) 15. Hanraths M. (C) 13. Rumpf J. 25. Yarbrough L. 19. Heister F. 18. El-Faouzi S. 9. Bahn B. 5. Strujic S. 21. Heinz A. 35. Benschop C. 8. Scepanik L.
Substitutes
37. Campbell C. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 17. Gobel P. 43. Krevsun D. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 21. Paschke F. 23. Paulina J.	47. Aourir A. 16. Bapoh U. 11. Goden K. 4. Meyer F. 34. Nkoa P. 14. Putaro L. 17. Schwermann J. 33. Zeller L. (G)
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Backhaus H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Bahn B. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Foti A. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Drakas B. ⚽, Azhil A. (A),
60', Benschop C. ↓, Goden K. ↑,
64', Rumpf J. 🟥,
65', Heinz A. ↓, Putaro L. ↑,
65', Strujic S. ↓, Meyer F. ↑,
65', Winter N. ↓, Heister F. ↑,
69', Azhil A. ↓, Paschke F. ↑,
69', Drakas B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
69', Jessen N. ↓, Gobel P. ↑,
74', Kabar A. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Hettwer J. ⚽,
80', Bahn B. ↓, Aourir A. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Campbell C. ⚽,
88', Putaro L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3.

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aachen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aachen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aachen have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
13.09.24	Sandhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Hansa Rostock - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLW
- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
15.09.24	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
17.01.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	2:1
05.09.20	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1
01.02.20	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:3
23.10.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	0:3
18.05.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	3:1
10.11.18	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0
18.03.18	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1

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