Match Info

3. Liga - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus)

Referee: Rupert Y. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	ESPN 3
World	Onefootball


	Energie Cottbus		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.6
	1.88	3.7	3.55
	1.83	4.01	4.01
	2.39	3.55	2.67	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.62	Watch
	1.88	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.74 ↑ (3.48)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
48.2%

Draw
25.1%

Alemannia Aachen
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aachen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Aachen (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Energie Cottbus will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aachen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 2. Manu K. S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 24. Lucoqui A. 5. Pelivan D. 19. Boziaris J. 10. Cigerci T. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 25. Tattermusch T. 18. Engelhardt E.	1. Olschowsky J. (G) 33. Wegmann M. 37. da Silva Kiala J. 4. Meyer F. 19. Heister F. 36. Ademi F. 8. Bahn B. 5. Strujic S. (C) 27. Schroers M. 23. Gindorf L. 14. Elekwa E.
Substitutes
37. Biankadi M. 31. Butler J. 4. Campulka T. 11. Hannemann M. 8. Michelbrink L. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 7. Thiele T.	44. Castelle N. H. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 29. Nadjombe P. 20. Richter M. 7. Scepanik L. 9. Sulejmani V. 30. Winter N. 18. Wriedt K. 25. Yarbrough L.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Muzzicato B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', Manu K. S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Gindorf L. (Pen),
21', Bahn B. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Cigerci T. ⚽, Manu K. S. (A),
25', 1 - 2, Schroers M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucoqui A. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
46', Tattermusch T. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
62', Boziaris J. ↓, Thiele T. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Rorig H. (A),
68', Elekwa E. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
70', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Cigerci T. (Pen),
73', 🟨,
73', Pelivan D. 🟨,
78', Bahn B. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
78', Heister F. ↓, Nadjombe P. ↑,
78', Schroers M. ↓, Wriedt K. ↑,
80', Strujic S. ↓, Sulejmani V. ↑,
85', Cigerci T. ↓, Hannemann M. ↑,
90', Engelhardt E. ↓, Campulka T. ↑,
90+6', Moustfa C. Y. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 14).

Cottbus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aachen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cottbus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cottbus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cottbus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.25	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Energie Cottbus - VfB Stuttgart II	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Verl - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Energie Cottbus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW
- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Schweinfurt - Alemannia Aachen	1:5 ✺
20.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
16.09.25	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
31.01.25	Alemannia Aachen - Energie Cottbus	0:0
24.08.24	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
10.02.12	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	N/A

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