Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 24 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.28	3.63	2.21
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	3.08	3.46	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.17 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
30.5%

Draw
26.8%

Jahn Regensburg
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	6.9%	82.8%

Borussia Dortmund II - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Jahn Regensburg will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 2. Morey M. 5. Suver M. 15. Aidonis A. 37. Semic L. 8. Roggow F. 30. Pohlmann O. 6. Azhil A. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 14. Eberwein M. 7. Bamba S.	32. Weidinger A. (G) 11. Faber K. 14. Ziegele R. 16. Breunig L. 6. Saller B. 8. Geipl A. (C) 5. Bulic R. 18. Anspach N. 10. Viet C. 27. Kother D. 20. Ganaus N.
Substitutes
39. Aning P. 11. Butler J. 17. Gobel P. 20. Hettwer J. 16. Lutke-Frie D. 10. Michel F. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 9. Otuali M. 19. Tattermusch T.	4. Ballas F. 25. Bauer J. 12. Cuk L. M. (G) 21. Eisenhuth T. 23. Graf J. 3. Hein B. 29. Huth E. 30. Mustafa V. 33. Tallig E.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Enochs J.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Regensburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Regensburg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Ulm 1846 - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWT
- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
20.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Verl	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Unterhaching	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Saarbrücken - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
23.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0
31.01.15	Jahn Regensburg - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0
09.08.14	Borussia Dortmund II - Jahn Regensburg	5:1
08.02.14	Jahn Regensburg - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1
24.08.13	Borussia Dortmund II - Jahn Regensburg	1:2

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