Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.98	3.55	2.15
	3.05	3.69	2.24
	2.87	3.40	2.31	Watch
	2.95	3.66	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	2.21 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
31.6%

Draw
26.1%

Verl
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

27.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Jahn Regensburg - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 4. Strauss F. (C) 37. Wurm L. 19. Asante D. 5. Muller P. 29. Fein A. 26. Bauer B. 11. Eichinger N. 21. Hottmann E. 18. Forkel D.	1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 30. Gayret T. 8. Waidner D. 28. Otto Y. 10. Taz B. 27. Onuoha C. 23. Besio A.
Substitutes
10. Beckhoff P. 13. Dietz F. 9. Galjen D. 8. Geipl A. 36. Kieffer B. 31. Matzler L. 33. Seidel N. 22. Stolze S. 32. Weidinger A. (G)	9. Arweiler J. 6. Eze J. 21. Knost T. 14. Lehmann P. 17. Mesanovic A. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 11. Steczyk D. 24. Stocker M.
Coaches
Wimmer M.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Wimmer M. 🟨,
58', Hottmann E. ↓, Dietz F. ↑,
58', Onuoha C. ↓, Steczyk D. ↑,
59', Ziegele R. 🟨,
65', Otto Y. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
65', Besio A. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
72', Asante D. ↓, Stolze S. ↑,
72', Muller P. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,
75', Schulze P. 🟨,
75', Dietz F. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Ziegele R. ⚽, Stolze S. (A),
84', Waidner D. ↓, Eze J. ↑,
84', Taz B. ↓, Mesanovic A. ↑,
86', Fein A. ↓, Geipl A. ↑,
86', Forkel D. ↓, Beckhoff P. ↑,
88', Matzler L. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Beckhoff P. ⚽,
90+2', Beckhoff P. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Regensburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Verl is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Regensburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Verl - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.09%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Schweinfurt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Verl - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Verl	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Verl - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Verl	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Verl	1:1
20.08.23	Verl - Jahn Regensburg	1:2

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