Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Freiburg II		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15
	3	3.4	2.25
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.49	2.33
	3.18	3.55	2.29
	2.88	3.25	2.15
	3.06	3.38	2.19
	3	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
30.6%

Draw
27.6%

Borussia Dortmund II
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+3%)

Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 23. Fahrner P. 25. Bichsel J. 13. Muller S. 3. Lungwitz A. 5. Rudlin F. 11. Stark J. 28. Johansson R. 22. Baur M. 8. Lienhard P. 45. Adamu J.	35. Lotka M. (G) 19. Tattermusch T. 23. Pfanne F. 5. Suver M. 37. Semic L. 8. Roggow F. 6. Azhil A. 30. Pohlmann O. 7. Bamba S. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 20. Hettwer J.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 36. Ambros L. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 17. Fallmann P. 33. Hornung S. (G) 42. Marino L. 46. Sturm Y. 20. Worner M.	39. Aning P. 11. Butler J. 14. Eberwein M. 16. Lutke-Frie D. 10. Michel F. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 9. Otuali M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Zimmermann J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Freiburg II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borussia Dortmund II will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Borussia Dortmund II to win the game is with odds 2.24.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.23	Duisburg - Freiburg II	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	0:4 ✺
03.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Freiburg II	3:2 ✺
28.11.23	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Borussia Dortmund II
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Ulm 1846 - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.08.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	1:0
03.03.23	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0
28.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	0:2
21.01.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	1:1
13.08.21	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:5

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