Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)


	Borussia Dortmund II		Köln II

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.15	4.05
	1.66	4.14	4.04
	1.67	4.08	4.11
	1.62	4.05	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	4.11 ↑ (3.85)	4.11 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
55.4%

Draw
22.3%

Köln II
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund II's performance.

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Borussia Dortmund II - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Benkara E. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Labenz L. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund II won 4.

Borussia Dortmund II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Köln II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Borussia Dortmund II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Borussia Dortmund II has had a series of away games.

Borussia Dortmund II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund II	11	7	4	0	23:11	12	25
10	Koln II	10	4	2	4	19:18	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
03.05.26	Schalke 04 II - Borussia Dortmund II	4:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
29.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
German Regionalliga West
26.04.26	Bocholt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Velbert - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Rödinghausen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWW
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
02.05.26	Köln II - Rödinghausen	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Velbert - Köln II	3:3 ✺
17.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bonner - Köln II	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
22.11.25	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5
23.01.21	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
12.09.20	Borussia Dortmund II - Köln II	2:1
14.09.19	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
01.04.19	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
25.09.18	Borussia Dortmund II - Köln II	3:0
05.05.18	Köln II - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1

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