Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	2.85	3.5	2.3
	2.95	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.94	3.6	2.23
	3.08	3.75	2.26
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.94	3.52	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.02)	3.53 ↑ (3.53)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
31.9%

Draw
26.3%

Preußen Münster
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.5%	15.1%	77.4%

Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). Münster will win (votes: 41 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 66.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 6. Azhil A. 3. Bueno G. 14. Eberwein M. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 20. Hettwer J. 32. Kamara A. 23. Pfanne F. (C) 30. Pohlmann O. 8. Roggow F. 5. Suver M.	40. Schenk J. (G) 23. Batmaz M. 32. Bazzoli L. 3. Bockle B. 5. Bouchama Y. 11. Deters T. 9. Grodowski J. 24. Koulis N. 26. Mrowca S. 21. Preissinger R. 15. Scherder S.
Substitutes
41. Lubach R. 16. Lutke-Frie D. 10. Michel F. 29. Nischalke J. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 37. Semic L.	19. Benjamins M. 8. Ghindovean D. 42. Hahn A. 7. Kyerewaa D. 18. Lorenz M. 10. Oubeyapwa S. 31. Schabbing R. (G) 25. Wegkamp G. 14. Wooten A.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Hildmann S.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Münster will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
09.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3 ✺
02.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
24.01.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Freiburg II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WTWWT
- Preußen Münster
German 3 Bundesliga
10.02.24	Preußen Münster - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Ingolstadt - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
05.08.23	Preußen Münster - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0
Club Friendly
28.06.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	1:1
German Regionalliga West
07.04.21	Preußen Münster - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
03.11.20	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	2:0
Club Friendly
26.06.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	3:2
05.07.17	Preußen Münster - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
12.07.16	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	1:2

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