The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Preußen Münster 28.4%
Draw 27.2%
Arminia Bielefeld 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
26.5%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
26.5%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preußen Münster's form might have worsened.
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arminia Bielefeld's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preußen Münster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
15.4%
46.2%
Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 13.8% – 69.6%.
1. Schenk J. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 24. Koulis N. 22. Heuer J. 2. Kirkeskov M. 20. Hendrix J. (C) 21. Preissinger R. 10. Schulz M. 5. Bouchama Y. 29. Rondic I. 14. Makridis C.
1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 5. Bauer M. 31. Knoche R. 29. Handwerker T. 6. Corboz M. (C) 21. Russo S. 22. Rochelt J. 14. Momuluh T. 28. Uldrikis R. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
17. Batista Meier O. 26. Behrens M. (G) 3. Jaeckel P. 13. Lokotsch L. 8. Mees J. 28. Meyerhofer M. 16. Paetow T. 32. Raschl T. 9. Yamada S.
27. Boakye B. 19. Grosser M. 24. Lannert C. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 8. Schreck S. 7. Telalovic S. 38. Worl M. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Schwartz A.
Kniat M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 1 - 0, Bouchama Y. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Momuluh T. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
16', 1 - 2, Uldrikis R. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
23', Schulz M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 3, Corboz M. ⚽, Uldrikis R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Schulz M. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
46', Kirkeskov M. ↓, Mees J. ↑,
54', Preissinger R. 🟨,
58', Preissinger R. ↓, Paetow T. ↑,
69', Heuer J. 🟨,
73', Heuer J. ↓, Lokotsch L. ↑,
75', Grodowski J. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
75', Momuluh T. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
81', Russo S. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
81', Uldrikis R. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Rondic I. ⚽, Koulis N. (A),
86', Hendrix J. ↓, Batista Meier O. ↑,
90+4', Rochelt J. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Münster won 3.
Recent form of Münster has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arminia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M.
(Knee Injury)
Benjamins M.
(Inactive)
Bolay L.
(Knee Injury)
Scherder S.
(Knee Injury)
Tikvic A.
(Knee Injury)
Vilhelmsson O.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Arminia: Felix J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Richter D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Münster: Mees J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Arminia: Boakye B.
(Injury)
Knoche R.
(Illness)
Sicker A.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Münster won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Münster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now
Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Arminia Bielefeld
6
1
2
3
10:12
-2
5
Last Results with these Odds
Preußen Münster - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.