Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Nather M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund II		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.88
	2.35	3.5	2.75
	2.31	3.5	2.85
	2.4	3.62	2.85
	2.29	3.56	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.88
	2.24	3.48	2.98	Watch
	2.31	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
40.5%

Draw
26.8%

Viktoria Köln
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 17. Gobel P. 34. Luhrs Y. 15. Huning B. 27. Lelle D. 36. Reitz T. 8. Roggow F. (C) 14. Eberwein M. 5. Foti A. 7. Besong P. 10. Elongo-Yombo R.	1. Dudu (G) 5. Lopes Cabral S. 35. Keita Z. 2. Dietz L. 33. Sticker J. 14. Lofolomo E. 21. Eisenhuth T. 11. Velasco R. 42. El Mala M. 37. May N. 9. Lobinger L.
Substitutes
39. Aning P. 28. Cherny N. 26. Drakas B. 33. Estevao T. (G) 2. Mogultay B. 23. Paulina J.	8. Bogicevic D. . Carella S. 19. Cueto L. 16. Engelhardt F. 30. Guler S. 7. Handle S. 24. Rauhut K. (G) 3. Schulz K. 10. Vrenezi A.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Janssen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Paulina J. 🟨,
42', Kabar A. 🟨,
44', Sticker J. 🟨,
45', Eberwein M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kabar A. ↓, Gobel P. ↑,
46', Paulina J. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Lobinger L. ⚽, Lopes Cabral S. (A),
52', Foti A. 🟨,
54', Gobel P. 🟨,
57', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Reitz T. ↑,
57', Foti A. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
64', Keita Z. 🟨,
65', El Mala M. ↓, Cueto L. ↑,
65', Velasco R. ↓, Bogicevic D. ↑,
76', Lobinger L. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Watjen K. ⚽,
84', Lofolomo E. 🟨,
90+2', Watjen K. ↓, Cherny N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Viktoria Köln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Azhil A. (Thigh Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Hettwer J. (Back Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Krevsun D. (Shoulder Injury) Lotka M. (Shoulder Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Viktoria Köln: El Mala S. (Muscle Injury) Popperl P. (Illness)

There are questionable in Viktoria Köln: Hill O. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:23 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
12.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLTW
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
12.03.25	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Verl - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5
09.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3
16.09.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	2:1
07.05.23	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
08.11.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	0:2
02.04.22	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2
24.10.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	0:1

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