Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball app


	Borussia Dortmund II		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.45
	2.7	3.6	2.37
	2.65	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.69	3.67	2.52
	2.64	3.54	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.59	3.54	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	2.42 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
35.3%

Draw
26.2%

Waldhof Mannheim
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waldhof Mannheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Waldhof will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 17. Gobel P. 34. Luhrs Y. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B. 21. Paschke F. 8. Roggow F. (C) 14. Eberwein M. 5. Foti A. 23. Paulina J. 20. Hettwer J.	1. Bartels J. (G) 24. Klunter L. 5. Seegert M. (C) 20. Matriciani H. 2. Voelcke S. 22. Sietan J. 29. Fein A. 18. Yigit S. 10. Kobylanski M. 7. Shipnoski N. 13. Boyd T.
Substitutes
11. Butler J. 26. Drakas B. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 16. Garcia Posadas L. 15. Huning B. 29. Jessen N. 1. Klussmann L. (G) 43. Krevsun D.	36. Arase K. 9. Gouras M. 12. Hanin O. (G) 32. Okpala K. 35. Rexhepi A. 21. Rieckmann J. 31. Thalhammer M. 23. Wardak Y.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Trares B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Luhrs Y. 🟨,
37', Yigit S. 🟨,
45+1', Sietan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yigit S. ↓, Rieckmann J. ↑,
57', Paulina J. 🟨,
66', Fein A. ↓, Thalhammer M. ↑,
68', Paulina J. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
78', Hettwer J. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
79', Shipnoski N. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
79', Kobylanski M. ↓, Arase K. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Voelcke S. ⚽, Arase K. (A),
85', Paschke F. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
85', Roggow F. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
89', Mogultay B. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3.

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Waldhof is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Waldhof could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Waldhof: Hoffmann N. (Knee Injury) Lohkemper F. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5 ✺
04.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLW
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sandhausen - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
25.09.24	Alemannia Aachen - Waldhof Mannheim	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.03.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2
20.10.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3
25.02.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	4:0
20.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1
17.01.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3
31.07.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1

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