Match Info

3. Liga - Round 30

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carl-Benz Stadion (Mannheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	14:00	Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	14:00	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	14:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	09:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	13:00	Onefootball


	Waldhof Mannheim		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3	Watch
	2.05	3.7	3.2
	2.12	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.17	3.83	3.1
	2.1	3.8	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.07	3.52	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waldhof Mannheim
44%

Draw
25.6%

Erzgebirge Aue
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Waldhof will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nijhuis T. (G) 25. Ba S. 24. Klunter L. 6. Hoffmann N. 17. Abifade S. 20. Asallari K. 22. Sietan J. 12. Thill V. 28. Michel D. 9. Lohkemper F. 13. Boyd T.	1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 30. Seiffert M. 11. Uhlmann E. 5. Simnica L. 34. Stefaniak M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 24. Ehlers J. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
7. Bierschenk L. 14. Iwe E. 41. Kryeziu D. 38. Masca 35. Mendes D. 29. Muteba NTumba N. X. 16. Niemann J. (G) 21. Rieckmann J. 8. Thalhammer M.	9. Bornschein R. 8. Clausen M. 20. Fabisch J. 19. Guttau J. 27. Hetzsch F. 22. Lord L. (G) 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 39. Schmid M. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Holtz L.	Dabrowski C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Stefaniak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Asallari K. ↓, Bierschenk L. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Bierschenk L. ⚽,
56', Thill V. ↓, Rieckmann J. ↑,
77', Ehlers J. 🟨,
78', Simnica L. 🟨,
79', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
85', Bar M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Boyd T. ⚽, Hoffmann N. (A),
90', Mannel M. 🟨,
90+3', Uhlmann E. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
90+4', Michel D. ↓, Thalhammer M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 4.

Recent performances by Waldhof have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aue has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Waldhof might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Mannheim	10	4	1	5	16:16	0	13

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Mannheim: 1.52%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - TSV Havelse	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	0:2
16.03.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1
18.10.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0
18.05.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0
16.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0
10.02.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1
10.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0

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