Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
World	Onefootball app


	Borussia Dortmund II		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.67
	4.2	3.9	1.73
	4.5	4	1.68
	4.47	4.27	1.72
	4.47	4.07	1.68	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.65
	4.31	3.92	1.68	Watch
	4.5	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.78)	3.96 ↑ (3.85)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
21.2%

Draw
23.5%

Dynamo Dresden
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 17. Gobel P. 34. Luhrs Y. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B. 43. Krevsun D. 8. Roggow F. 5. Foti A. 14. Eberwein M. (C) 20. Hettwer J. 23. Paulina J.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 10. Lemmer J. 15. Kammerknecht C. 23. Bunning L. 16. Heise P. 32. Sterner J. 17. Casar A. 5. Sapina V. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 7. Batista Meier O. 33. Daferner C.
Substitutes
11. Butler J. 26. Drakas B. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 16. Garcia Posadas L. 15. Huning B. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 21. Paschke F.	6. Berger T. 29. Boeder L. 30. Kutschke S. 14. Lehmann P. 26. Marx J. H. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 28. Risch S.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Paulina J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Paulina J. ⚽, Foti A. (A),
59', Eberwein M. 🟨,
62', Sterner J. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
62', Batista Meier O. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Daferner C. ⚽, Menzel T. (A),
70', Paulina J. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
70', Krevsun D. ↓, Paschke F. ↑,
71', Roggow F. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Foti A. ⚽, Mogultay B. (A),
81', Hettwer J. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
83', Casar A. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
90', Heise P. ↓, Risch S. ↑,
90', Lemmer J. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
90', Foti A. ↓, Huning B. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', Hauptmann N. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 1.

Borussia Dortmund II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo Dresden is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
28.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	3:0 ✺
13.09.24	Sandhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
29.09.24	Dynamo Dresden - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Verl - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Dynamo Dresden - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
28.01.24	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2
26.08.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	0:2
12.03.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	1:3
03.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0
16.05.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	2:3
21.11.14	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
Club Friendly
17.01.14	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2

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