Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Boston United		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.25	3.45	2.88
	2.41	3.52	2.86
	1.27	4.27	18.08	Watch
	2.27	3.4	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.33)	3.61 ↑ (3.36)	5.9 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
51.7%

Draw
30%

Braintree Town
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boston United's performance.

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braintree Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boston United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braintree Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Boston United - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boston United will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lovett R. (G) 15. Carson M. 7. Coyle R. 32. Cropper J. 11. Donnelly K. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 5. Mills Z. (C) 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. 4. Teale C.	1. Terry M. (G) 16. Babic G. 7. Blackwell T. 11. Cooper C. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 4. Langston G. (C) 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 17. Pinnington J. 24. Terry F. 6. Vennings J. 38. Works T.
Substitutes
18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. 23. Hampson O. 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 17. Lankshear A. 27. Norkett M.	14. Akinde J. 21. Clayton R. 33. Davis O. 19. Hockey F. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M. 39. Thorpe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Sloggett G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Marshall-Miranda M. 🟨,
50', Works T. 🟨,
54', Cooper C. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Cropper J. ⚽, Hill D. (A),
63', Coyle R. 🟨,
74', Coyle R. ↓, Lankshear A. ↑,
74', Carson M. ↓, Hampson O. ↑,
74', Blackwell T. ↓, Clayton R. ↑,
78', Babic G. ↓, Akinde J. ↑,
83', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
83', Works T. ↓, Davis O. ↑,
88', Donnelly K. ↓, Fogarty T. ↑,
89', Cropper J. ↓, Grist B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Hill D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boston United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Boston United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
20.09.25	Boston United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Boston United - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Hartlepool United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTLT
- Braintree Town
English National League
20.09.25	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Braintree Town - Nottingham Forest U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Braintree Town - York City	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Rochdale - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Braintree Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.03.25	Braintree Town - Boston United	0:1
23.11.24	Boston United - Braintree Town	3:1

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