Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	6
	1.45	4.1	7.57
	1.44	4.11	7.57
	1.4	4	7
	1.64	3.52	4.97	Watch
	1.46	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)	3.96 ↑ (3.79)	6.52 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
62.5%

Draw
23.3%

Bahia
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Botafogo PB - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 10. Bruno Leite 32. Evandro 19. Kiko 2. Lenon 23. Pedro Ivo 9. Pipico 14. Renie 5. Rodrigo 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	2. Alex 7. Joao Coni 8. Jota 4. Kaua 3. Marcelinho (C) 1. Pedro Cruz 6. Roque C. 9. Samuel 11. Tiago 10. Vitinho 5. Wendel S. P.
Substitutes
27. Bruno Mota 12. de Oliveira W. G. (G) 22. Erick 25. Gabriel Lima 26. Gustavo Poffo 7. Jean Silva 8. Julio Rusch 18. Lucas Siqueira 24. Mosquito 36. Paulinho 17. Sousa Tibiri 21. Warley	14. Daniel 18. Ganem Souto Neto P. 13. Gerald 20. Joao Neres 16. Lucas 12. Neres dos Santos I. J. C. (G) 15. Pedrinho 19. Pires Correia Lima J. W. 17. Rafael

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Jota 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Vitinho ↓, Ganem Souto Neto P. ↑,
46', Alex ↓, Daniel Gomes ↑,
46', Kiko ↓, Gustavo Poffo ↑,
46', Bruno Leite ↓, Warley ↑,
49', Wendel Lomar 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Pipico ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Pedro Ivo ⚽,
61', Rodrigo 🟨,
63', Wendel S. P. ↓, Pires Correia Lima J. W. ↑,
63', Roque C. ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
68', Thallyson ↓, Lucas Siqueira ↑,
73', Joao Coni ↓, Rafael Soares ↑,
73', Pipico ↓, Bruno Mota ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Bruno Mota ⚽,
84', Lenon ↓, Erick ↑,
90+7', 4 - 0, Bruno Mota ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bahia is Qualified for Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 0.

Recent matches Botafogo PB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.24	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
21.03.24	Treze - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
16.03.24	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Botafogo PB	3:0 ✺
13.03.24	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Botafogo PB - Sousa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.24	Bahia - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
16.03.24	Bahia - Jequié	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.24	Caxias - Bahia	2:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.03.24	Jequié - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.21	Bahia - Botafogo PB	1:1
25.07.20	Bahia - Botafogo PB	3:1
03.05.18	Bahia - Botafogo PB	0:0
26.04.18	Botafogo PB - Bahia	1:2
29.03.18	Botafogo PB - Bahia	0:2
18.01.18	Bahia - Botafogo PB	0:1

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