Match Info

Paraibano - Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Sousa

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.68	3.25	4.65
	1.68	3.15	4.85
	1.68	3.2	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	4.64 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
52.7%

Draw
27.9%

Sousa
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Botafogo PB - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 22. Dudu 12. Erick 87. Felipe Azevedo 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene 3. Yan Souto	1. Moises (G) 20. Crystian 8. Diego Viana 6. Gilmar 7. Guimaraes 5. Hebert 4. Marcelo 21. Mateuzinho 19. Matheus Bambu 3. Pedro Costa 25. Veraldo
Substitutes
29. Anderson Chaves 25. Caio Garcia 7. Dudu Hatamoto 37. Ed Carlos 18. Giovanni 9. Henrique Dourado 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 23. Max Walef (G) 6. Patric Calmon 44. Saimon 20. Thallyson	15. Abraao 9. Bambam 16. Felipe Jacare 26. Gabriel Souza (G) 10. Gianlucas 14. Kiko 11. Luis Henrique 18. Natalicio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Mateuzinho ↓, Kiko ↑,
43', Hebert 🟨,
45+3', Nene 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
74', 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Botafogo PB is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo PB won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Serra Branca - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Mixto - Botafogo PB	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.26	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLT
- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Sousa - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.03.26	Campinense - Sousa	0:2 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
28.02.26	Sousa - Campinense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2
24.01.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1
30.03.25	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1
23.03.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:0
22.02.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2
13.04.24	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:2 penalties
06.04.24	Sousa - Botafogo PB	0:0

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