Match Info

BRAZIL: Paraibano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro (Campina Grande)


	Treze		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.63	2.88
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.46	2.75	3.05
	2.72	2.65	2.77
	2.66	2.79	2.82	Watch
	2.73	2.73	2.98
	2.55	2.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)	2.71 ↓ (2.89)	2.95 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
35.5%

Draw
33.6%

Botafogo PB
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treze's form might have worsened.

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Treze - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Igor Rayan (C) 6. Arthurzinho 10. Dione 7. Dudu 5. Juninho 8. Karl 3. Marcelo Sousa 14. Neto M. 11. Rafael Ibiapino 19. Schutz 2. Van	12. Wallace (G) 2. Erick 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 17. Gustavo Ramos 9. Henrique Dourado 25. JP Iseppe 3. Renie (C) 7. Rodrigo Alves 16. Sidcley 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
12. Andrade (G) 23. Daniel Mazerochi 4. Gomes 16. Guilherme Lucena 9. Jeam 18. Jeffinho 17. Lincoln 20. Manu 22. Pedro Rodrigues 25. Rodrigo Gaia 15. Tiago Barbosa 21. Wandson	8. Bruno Leite 18. Evandro 10. Falcao 36. Kaue Canela 32. Lucas Lopes 28. Luis Miguel 34. Marcelo Augusto 1. Michael 15. Natham 33. Raphael Carvalho 23. Riquelmo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Dudu 🟨,
15', Gama 🟨,
21', Arthurzinho 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, JP Iseppe ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Erick ↓, Lucas Lopes ↑,
46', Dudu ↓, Rodrigo Gaia ↑,
46', Karl ↓, Wandson ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Schutz ⚽,
54', Wandson ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
54', Diego Ivo 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
61', Sidcley ↓, Evandro ↑,
66', Gustavo Ramos ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
66', JP Iseppe ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
67', 🟨,
74', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
75', Dione 🟥,
76', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', Rafael Ibiapino ↓, Daniel Mazerochi ↑,
81', Henrique Dourado ↓, Marcelo Augusto ↑,
82', Schutz ↓, Jeam ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Treze won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Botafogo PB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Treze will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Treze won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Treze won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.25	Nacional de Patos - Treze	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Treze - Sousa	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pombal - Treze	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Treze - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
30.01.25	Treze - Esporte de Patos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTWW
- Botafogo PB
Copa do Brasil
27.02.25	Portuguesa - Botafogo PB	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Botafogo PB - Campinense	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Treze - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
02.02.25	Treze - Botafogo PB	2:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.03.24	Treze - Botafogo PB	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
13.03.24	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:2
22.01.23	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:0
21.04.21	Botafogo PB - Treze	2:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
01.04.21	Treze - Botafogo PB	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
05.12.20	Botafogo PB - Treze	1:1

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